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Welcome to Larry's Blog!
Another Successful Process Management Academy

Our colleagues at ARC in Europe recently wrapped up the Process Management Academy, which is an event co-sponsored by the excellent German automation publication Process.

You can click on the web site listed below to view the many presentations given by leading end users, suppliers, and ARC analysts.

The overall topic of this year's PMA was Sustainability and Innovation in Asset & Process Management.

http://www.process-management-academy.com/en

Petrobras Envisions Peak Oil in 2010

http://www.peakoil.net/headline-news/petrobras-envisions-peak-in-2010

" Mr. Gabrielli, the CEO of Petrobras, gave a presentation in December 2009 in which he shows world oil capacity, including biofuels, peaking in 2010 due to oil capacity additions from new projects being unable to offset world oil decline rates. "

MESA Webcast on Process Safety and Risk Assessment

https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/262251312

I will be moderating a webinar on process safety and risk assessment next Thursday at 11 AM Eastern time for MESA. The link to register is above and you don't have to be a MESA member to attend. MESA has a new Process Industry Special Interest Group and this webinar is a product of that. Presenters include Fayez Kharbat from Saudi Aramco and Steve Soos from Meridium.

While a variety of methods are available for risk assessment, the success of these methods has been limited by the lack of a shared, singular definition of risk which would allow for easy comparison of data between these analysis methods:

    Hazards and Operability Analysis (HAZOP)

    Safety Integrity Level (SIL) Analysis

    Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM)

    Risk Based Inspections (RBI)

This webinar will provide an overview of these risk assessment methods and demonstrate how the ability to assign a singular definition for risk ranking and the integration of these various analytical processes can improve safety, as well as save time and money.

Total Workers to Start Shutdown at French Refineries

http://bit.ly/9n3at1

Total refinery workers are on strike at six plants across France, and they are shutting down crude processing operations. The process of halting operations is expected to take a few days. "Workers at Total's six French refineries and seven out of 31 fuel-storage depots walked out for a third day to protest the permanent closure of oil processing at the idled Flanders plant near Dunkirk. Employees have criticized Total's decision to scale back refining in Europe while expanding in the Middle East, according to the Confederation Generale du Travail union."

Rockwell Introduces “Day in the Life” Demo for PlantPAx

Rockwell Automation no has an interactive, multimedia system tour based upon a process user's perspective known as "day in the life."  It debuted on stage at PSUG 2009 and consists of over 20 video modules suitable for customers to better show the PlantPAx System capabilities.

You can click here to explore it: http://www.rockwellautomation.com/solutions/process/ just go to the PlantPAx demo link.

Process Automation System Lifecycle Management Survey

We have developed a new survey to get a better idea how end users are dealing with the lifecycle management issues associated with their installed base of systems, many of which are getting quite old. Users of process automation systems have struggled with the issue of determining when the useful life of their system is over.  Since these systems are crucial to the success of operations from so many aspects, having a strategy based on best practices is essential.  Modern process automation systems are comprised of many components that each have different life expectancies.  Suppliers have worked in concert with their clients to provide replacements for obsolete components that in many cases have extended the life far beyond the original expectation.  This survey will help determine what the current state of the industry is and how it relates to best practices.  All are welcome to take the survey, but we are obviously looking more for end users to respond. We will be happy to send you a consolidated copy of survey results when the survey is complete and all of your information will be kept confidential. 

http://survey.constantcontact.com/survey/a07e2qhnxspg5qz6e0i/start

White House Pushes for New Nukes

In a move that would have dismayed the "No Nukes" concert organizers of the seventies, the Democratic White House is pushing for new nuclear projects in the US because it's climate friendly.

According to the Reuters report, "The Obama administration will announce on Tuesday an $8.3 billion loan guarantee to help Southern Co. build two reactors, helping to invigorate the nuclear power industry after nearly three decades in which no new plants have been built." Are we in an alternate reality?

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N16216891.htm

Global Shift Means More Refineries on the Block

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/world-news/global-shift-sees-europe-oil-refineriesthe-block_441513.html

From an Indian web site called Moneycontrol.com – Asian refiners are eyeing assets in Europe and North America as the integrated oil and gas companies continue to lose money on refining business.

"Asian refiners want to take advantage of the crisis in European oil refining to buy up capacity from the majors, battered by 15 year-low margins, and shift the power centre of the industry to state-run firms."

"PetroChina has been negotiating to buy the Grangemouth refinery in Scotland, formally BP's flagship British refinery, from chemicals group Ineos.

A Chinese official told Reuters under condition of anonymity that getting a foothold in Europe would provide his company with an export outlet of diesel from Asia across the Pacific, a basement to export gasoline to the United States across the Atlantic and some access to the North Sea crude oil market. "

Operator of the Future Session: The George Jetson Syndrome?

 

The ARC Orlando Forum hosted a great session on the Operator of the Future MCd by ARC Vice President Dick Hill. The first presenter was Mike Williams of Dow Chemical. Mike spoke about state based process control and how it drives operational excellence through improved operator response. Mike spoke of the "George Jetson" syndrome. When George interacts with his computer at work, the computer never hesitates to remind him that he as the operator is essentially irrelevant and redundant. If everything is automated, what is the real role of the operator? The operator is there to intervene should it be necessary. The operator monitors the holistic performance of the plant and ensures sustained operations against the specific design intent. The goal of the control system is to provide the operator with a vehicle for driving operational excellence. The goal of the operator interface is to act as a component of the control system to provide the operator with a quick, easy to use and effective decision support environment for the analysis and troubleshooting of both routine and upset conditions.

Operators experience a lot of mental stress. One person referred to the environment of the operator as "long periods of inactivity followed by short bursts of extreme terror". According to Mike, the ability of the operator to act changes rapidly under stressful situations. Under normal workload, the operator applies basic knowledge successfully. At the first sign of a fault condition, the operator acknowledges the event in a clearly defined manner. As the abnormal situation deteriorates, however, interdependent events propagate with the human responding based on experience and best judgment. As the event escalates, the ability of the human to successfully act rapidly deteriorates.

So how do we address this issue? We need a solution that incorporates automating procedures and the manufacturing operating disciplines they are associated with. The best operational knowledge needs to be institutionalized and needs to include the most appropriate response to abnormal events. This needs to be applied to all modes of operation from normal running to startup, shutdown, and transitions. Not just steady state conditions.

Stephen E Zitney from the US Department of Energy at its National Energy Technology Lab (NETL) spoke about advancements that his organization is making toward training the new power plant operators of the future through advanced simulation technology. According to Stephen, the next generation plants will be integrated gasification combined cycle plants (IGCC), which are better suited to carbon capture and storage (CCS). This next generation of plants are going to incorporate large, highly integrated, and multipurpose systems that need sophisticated levels of operator training. Stephen sees increased use of immersive 3-D simulation integrated with online training simulators (OTS). Merging of the control room and field operator roles is also on the horizon as plant personnel will use 3-D visors to perform tasks and respond to trends and alarms.

The NETL Dynamic Simulator Research and Training Center is already being formed, which will provide research, development, education and training for the design and operation and control of advanced energy solutions. The center will develop and deploy a portfolio of full scope real time dynamic simulators with Operator Training Simulation and Immersive training System capabilities. The IGCC Immersive Training System (ITS) will provide a real time, immersive, and interactive virtual environment for training plant engineers and outside field operators. This will provide a more realistic environment for trainees and the opportunity to practice in training sessions. The simulation will enforce quick and correct reactions in medium to high stress situations.

Laura Sheets and Lance Abbott from Savannah River Nuclear are involved in the pit disassembly and conversion project, which takes nuclear material used for weaponry and converts it to fuel rods for nuclear power generation. The control system and the operator interface are essential to Savannah River achieving their goals. Their concern is how to make the human more efficient. Operators today are used to using technology in their everyday lives and have personal computers at home. This was not the case even ten years ago.

The operator of the future is not George Jetson, with his feet up on his desk complaining about a three day work week. He must be engaged and alert and be able to make critical decisions. In Savannah River's terms, there are several key components of the operator interface. The first of these is the equipment definition, then graphics, alarming, and automation of procedures. The graphics of the future must be simple. Displays should be uncluttered and bright colors should only be used when you are trying to draw the operators' attention to something. Graphics that are light in color to reduce eye strain. The alarm summary screen should ideally be blank. The operator should not be distracted by irrelevant alarms. If an operator action is not required, it is not an alarm. Alarms must be distinct and timely. Alarm rationalization must be employed. Advanced techniques such as alarm suppression, state based alarming, and shelving should be employed. Automated procedures should be included and should be online and step by step. The operator executes each step, which keeps them engaged. There must be a predefined response if a specific condition cannot be met.

I am on Twitter now
I have the username DCSanalyst on Twitter and will be tweeting from the ARC Forum.  ARC Advisory group is also on Twitter under the name ARC_Advisory.  
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